
The Rise of Japan
The First World War
American Leadership
Japanese Aggression
Countdown to Attack



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Japanese Aggression 1929-1939
The desire for expansion, which many Japanese felt was vital
to ensure national survival, was increased by the onset of the
worldwide Depression in 1929. Japan suffered severely from the
slump, with its rural economy particularly badly hit. As a
direct response to the distress at home, the first move was made
by the Japanese army of occupation in southern Manchuria, the
strongly pro-nationalist Kwantung Army. In September 1931, an
alleged act of aggression by Chinese troops at Mukden (actually
fabricated by the Japanese) was used as a pretext for the
Kwantung Army to occupy the whole of Manchuria.
The invasion, which was widely popular in Japan, had two
important consequences. It demonstrated the weakness of the
civilian government, which had been powerless to stop the
campaign, and began a period where the armed forces were the
predominant influence in Japanese politics. It also had a
profound effect on Japan's international situation. Despite
further Japanese aggression, against Shanghai in January 1932,
Britain and America did little. Strategically, military action
was not feasible as Japan was too far away. Economically,
neither country wanted to damage the valuable trade they had
built up by the 1930s. However, to the West, it was now clear
that Japan, which had defied the League of Nations by moving
against Manchuria, was a danger to the status quo.
Japan left the League in 1933 after being censured for its
actions in Manchuria. In 1933 and 1935, Japan annexed further
territory to gain control of China north of the Great Wall. In
1934, in violation of the international "open door"
agreement, Japan warned other powers that it considered China as
within its commercial sphere of influence. In January 1936,
having failed to win equality with Britain and America, Japan
withdrew from the naval limitation agreements first signed in
Washington in 1921. In November 1936, in an attempt to check
Soviet expansionism in the Far East, Japan signed the Anti-Comintern
Pact with Germany.
On 7 July 1937, after a minor incident at the Marco Polo
Bridge near Peking, war broke out between Japan and China. Any
remaining vestiges of Western tolerance evaporated; Japan had
now renounced all the elements of the collective security system
established at Washington in 1921. Peking and Tientsin fell
quickly but, with the stiffening of Chinese resistance, the
Japanese soon realised it would not be the short campaign they
envisaged. In August, bitter fighting broke out in Shanghai. In
December, the Japanese captured Nanking, the Nationalist
capital, amid scenes of savage brutality. The Japanese Army,
which by now had over 700,000 troops in China, won impressive
victories in 1938. But the vastness of the country and the
increasing use of guerilla tactics by the Chinese inexorably
sucked the Japanese into a war of attrition, which would endure
until 1945.
By 1939, the war was costing $5m per day, adversely affecting
Japan's industrial expansion and restricting its ability to pay
for the vital finished goods and raw materials it needed from
the rest of the world. Clashes with Soviet forces in Mongolia
brought heavy defeats. In August the Anti-Comintern Pact fell
into abeyance as Nazi Germany signed a Non-Aggression Pact with
the Soviet Union. By September 1939, little credibility remained
in Japan's policy of expansion. Then on the other side of the
world one event transformed the situation: war broke out in
Europe.
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